I’ve struggled to articulate – in “digestible” terms – what I
mean by “VISIONING” … i.e., being able to “picture” how the future might unfold
– including discernment of hurdles and barriers to be overcome … and HOW they
might be overcome – toward getting us most directly, efficiently and
effectively where we want and need to go.
VISIONING is an extremely helpful skill to develop and
engage. For those lacking the capacity
or inclination for VISIONING or FORESIGHT, there’s nothing like EXPERIENCE to
spawn indelible HINDSIGHT!
Hindsight can foster
insight … like insight into what
works and what doesn’t. And it can plant
the seeds of foresight … like envisioning
the need to invent a snow plow … or an axle … to yield better outcomes!
HISTORY is an indispensible companion resource (except for
caveats below):
“Those who do not
remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
George Santayana
* * * * * * * * * * *
“There are three kinds of men:
The ones that learn by reading.
The few who learn by observation.
The rest of them have to pee on the electric fence
and find out for themselves.”
Will Rogers
Odds-makers depend almost exclusively on hindsight for
insight into foresight … exploring “how things turned out the last time” – and
WHY – except that they swim against formidable cross-currents of unwarranted optimism
or pessimism anchored to emotional baggage.
Mechanistically, Visioning liberally utilizes “If …,
Then … “ conjecturing. For
example:
If
I drink and drive / text and drive, then my chances of an accident
substantially increase.
If
I get a college degree, then my prospects for lifetime income increase more
than two-fold.
If
I continue consuming things that aren’t “good” for me and fail to exercise, then
I can reasonably expect to encounter health problems
The major forces interfering with productive “Mindsight
Visioning” include: Wanton Willfulness, an inclination toward self-indulgence
and immediate gratification, calculated gambling on delayed ramification, short-sightedness,
low Emotional IQ, defiant “Rogue” malingering, unanchored Values/Principles, misplaced
passion, truncated dreams, foreshortened accountability and a perverse reliance
on deus ex machina rescues.
For hindsight to be a certified 20/20 proposition, it requires
careful scrutiny – absent rationalization – and, often, coldly calculating
analysis. Exactly WHY something happened
and HOW are critically useful features of hindsight. Depending on how far out we are from actual
events, and how much vested interest we may have in how they turned out, our
recollections may become distorted.
Thus, caveats abound:
“Hindsight is a double-edged
sword. Too much of it and the past seems inevitable, With too little hindsight,
a panoramic perspective is impossible.” LANCE B. KURKE
“Hindsight is of little
value in the decision-making process. It distorts our memory for events that
occurred at the time of the decision so that the actual consequence seems to
have been a "foregone conclusion." Thus, it may be difficult to learn
from our mistakes.” DIANE F. HALPERN
“Hindsight, or our ability
to see our past clearly, is a learning function that, when damaged ... renders
us unable to look at the past to guide ourselves through the present and into
the future. Without this ability, we cannot learn from our mistakes. We cannot
clean up the wreckage of our actions. We are locked into a cycle of repeating the
same thing over and over again, expecting different results. This is commonly
known as the definition of insanity.” BARBARA S. COLE
So, yes,
there are caveats to a blind reliance on knee-jerk hindsight. But we can get better at benchmarking and evaluating
it as we go. It provides helpful
perspective over time, and it certainly beats the alternative of going through
life with either rose-colored glasses or bags over our heads.
Bottom
Line: Develop as much FORESIGHT
VISIONING as you can, bolstered by whatever hindsight is available. But don’t shy from forging ahead in the
direction you want to go “with eyes wide open” … laying tracks for future
HINDSIGHTS that will be particularly useful in future VISIONING! Quartermaster [Coming attraction: CONSEQUENCES]
“If I had to live my life again I'd make all
the same mistakes--only sooner.”
TALLULAH
BANKHEAD
No comments:
Post a Comment